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(2016) Readings in formal epistemology, Dordrecht, Springer.

Some problems for conditionalization and reflection

Frank Arntzenius

pp. 163-176

I will present five puzzles which show that rational people can update their degrees of belief in manners that violate Bayesian Conditionalization and van Fraassen's Reflection Principle. I will then argue that these violations of Conditionalization and Reflection are due to the fact that there are two, as yet unrecognized, ways in which the degrees of belief of rational people can develop.

Publication details

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-20451-2_10

Full citation:

Arntzenius, F. (2016)., Some problems for conditionalization and reflection, in H. Arló-Costa, V. F. Hendricks & J. Van Benthem (eds.), Readings in formal epistemology, Dordrecht, Springer, pp. 163-176.

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